Big X:
Minny vs. Ohio State
3:30 PM EST
In the last 10 games, Minnesota has allowed 60 or less points in 9 of those games with the one exception being an 80 point outburst by Michigan during the regular season. Ohio State is also defensive minded. Other than the double OT thriller against the Illini yesterday, the Buckeyes have allowe 68 points or less (under 60 8 times) in the last 12 games played. Minnesota has really clamped down defensively to end the season and what they did to Purdue (11 first half points) was impressive. Not a huge write up here, I'm just riding what should be a very defensive minded philosiphy by Thad and Tubby, the two head coach's and what is usually a low scoring affair in the Big X finale.
PC 3*** on Ohio State/Minny under 130 (loss)

NBA:
Indy @ Milwaukee
12:05 PM EST
Who's hotter than Milwaukee? This team is dominating with wins over the Jazz, the Celtics, and winners of 5 straight. They are 4-0-1 ATS against Indiana in their last 5. They are in the thick of the playoff hunt. I again am skipping a huge write up. This bucks team is dominating and after beating a similar team (Washington) by 13++ in two straight games, I see no reason to not back them at home against Indy in a day game. The ONLY reason this isn't a 5***** is the Bucks might slip and overlook the Pacers. I don't see it though. 
Milwaukee Bucks -9 PC 3*** (loss)
NOTE EARLY TIP!

Take Richmond +3 1/2 over Xavier for 4 units at 3:30.
I really think Richmond is going to win SU however  I will take the points.   I had Xavier last night and I think the tank will run on empty as that was a hard fought game. This is a big revenge game as Xavier won in overtime earlier this year in Xavier.  These guys are on a neutral court now and Richmond is hungry.  Richmond's defense I think will clamp down against Xavier today. Richmond are 9-2-1 ats over their last 12 games, 6-0-1 ats over their last 7 against a team with a winning%, avove 600, and 37-13-1 ats over their last 51 as an underdog. Richmond gets their revenge today and move onto the conf. championship game.
This is what I call my revenge GOY and take the Spiders +3 1/2 for 4 units... (WIN)

8:05pm
Current Line:  Denver Nuggets -4
A classic Carmelo Anthony scoring run has led the Denver Nuggets during their latest winning streak. A matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies doesn't seem likely to slow him down. Winners of five straight, the Nuggets hope for another big game from Anthony as they visit the Grizzlies on Saturday night. Denver is ranked second in the league in scoring, averaging 107.6 points, but it has been even better during its winning streak, posting 114.2 per contest. Two of Anthony's biggest scoring games this season were against Memphis (35-31), which is surrendering 102.8 points per game. Anthony is averaging 41.5 points in those contests.  Denver is 8-1 in their last 9 vs Memphis.  Their only loss coming in a game Billups missed in December.  The better team prevails tonight.
DENVER is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was DENVER 107.8, OPPONENT 97.5
MEMPHIS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MEMPHIS 94.7, OPPONENT 107.3
Play Denver Nuggets -2, HKC 4* (WIN)

T-Bone is on a steady 19-11 run grinding out 19.7 units of profit.  We have 2 strong college games early on Saturday.

11:30am- UTEP(26-5) plays Houston(18-15) in the C-USA title game and this is a complete mismatch.  UTEP is playing for seeding in the big dance while Houston needs to win to be a 13 or 14 seed.  UTEP prevailed by 7 when they played in February and is 17-1 in conference.  Miners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Conference USA. Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win. Take UTEP -6.5 for 3 T-bone units. (loss)

1:30pm-Miami hung tough and only lost to Duke by 7 in February and that was before their team clicked on this run in the ACC tourney.  This game will be close and the Canes will cover with ease.  Hurricanes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5,7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Blue Devils are 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win and are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Hurricanes are 2-0-2 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the underdog is 2-0-2 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  Take Miami +11.5 for 3 T-Bone units. (WIN)

Right back to the $$$$
2-0 ATS yesterday +6 units
7-2 ATS in conference tourneys

Let's get after it:

NBA:
Late tip
10:35 PM EST
Toronto @ Golden State
I'm all over the Warriors. This team has been nothing short of an ATS juggernaut. let's look at some stats:
**Golden State is 5-2 ATS in their last 7.
**G State is 36-27-1 ATS on the season and 18-14 ATS at home this year.
**Toronto is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 and a solid 1-8 ATS in their last 9.
**Toronto is 13-18 ATS on the road this year.
**Toronto lost by 13 to Sac Town last time out on their current road trip.
I've been watching and laying on G State the past few weeks. This team can absolutely bomb and Stephon Curry has been such a pleasant surprise. I didn't think he would have the physicality to play in the NBA but he has proven me wrong. Here's the main reason I'm playing G state tomorrow night:
The Raptors, flat out, cannot play defense. Now the Warriors aren't any kind of defensive wizards, but the Raptors are god awful defensively. Bosh is back but that doesn't mean anything to me. G State is going to run the Raptors off the court. I've enjoyoed watching this team lately and the Raps just won't be able to catch up. Tight game early, blowout win by double digits late for the Warriors.
PC 3*** ML on Golden State to win outright +105 (WIN)
Play the + 1 1/2 if you want too..you won't need it.

Battle of Kansas part III
K State vs. Kansas
6:00 PM EST
I love the Jayhawks, I think they win the NCAA tourney. But today, I'm taking K State.  Even though Kansas absolutely owns the Jayhawks, this tournament has shown that Kansas is playing sluggish and dangerous basketball right now. As a Hawks fan I'm very worried. Losing to T Tech in the 2nd half, losing to A and M in the 2nd half. Big runs led by Sherron Collins to get the wins. You simply can't do that against this K State team. It's been a very long time since K State won the Big XII/VIII tourney and today, for the first time in a long time, I don't know if KU will have the home court advantage. This game is a rock solid final.  Did anyone watch the baylor game last night? K State answered every run and shot lights out in the Sprint Center, something KU hasn't been able to do. I have watched both battle of Kansas tilts and K State does a very good job on Cole Aldrich. I think where Kansas is weak in this matchup is at shooting guard. Can Xavier Henry be a difference maker? Maybe. Pullen and Clemente and coach Frank Martin still are going after a high seed, Kansas is locked into a #1. I'm backing K State to cover the points tonight in what should be a great game.
PC 3*** on Kansas State +5 1/2 (loss)

A 3rd play which I've been watching line movement all day and researching:

Big East Championship
9:00 PM EST
Gtown vs. WVA
What an interesting matchup. Gtown has played 3 games in 3 days and WVA has had to win dramatically in their last 2 games after a 1'st round bye. Looking at this game let's consider some factors:
**Gtown has played 3 straight including a trackmeet against #1 seed Syracuse and a blowout win against Marquette.
**WVA has methodically made their way to the title game behind solid defense. In their two tourney games they have allowed 51 points and played great defense against Cincy and Notre Dame.
**In their only matchup this year, WVA won by 13 at home.
**Gtown is on a roll covering 4 in a row ATS.
With all that being said, I am laying the points and playing on the favorite, West Virginia. Here's why:
1.)Experience factor: I have capped this tournament well for BPO Sport Corp. going back to the Team FLA days. WVA always plays well in the garden. I slammed them during the NIT tourney a few years back and also in previous Garden visits to the Big east tourney. Put simply, this team plays very well in the Garden.
2.)Coaching: Huggie Bear is a solid coach. Put simply, his win at all costs mentality makes his team play with great intensity. One of the reasons they match up well with Gtown is they aren't afraid to buckle down and play defense and get physical. This team loves to bang and it's the reason they dominated Gtown earlier in the year.
3.)Fatigue: For onyone that follows this tournament annually, it takes a miracle to win 4 games in 4 days. The last team to do it was Jerry mac's Cuse team in that incredible 5OT semi and then final. It is very hard to play 4 games in 4 days and win this thing. WVA had some time off and they haven't performed offensively. However, I see Gtown and their PG Freeman being much more fatigued and this team they face plays the best defense in the Big East. (Honorable mention to Jimmy's 2-3 matchup zone of Cuse)
The pub is on Gtown and I can see why. They are hot, but this is an entirely different team than the first two run and guns of Cuse and Marquette. I can't see Gtown matching WVA on either end of the floor for a full 40 minutes. I'm taking WVA to win this thing and pull away late to get us the Big East Championship and another PC tourney win.
PC 3*** on WVA -2 1/2 (loss)

 

 

 

 

Big XII
Baylor vs. K State
9:00 PM EST
Yes, Baylor burned me last night. Yes, they won all 3 matchups vs. Texas tonight. Do they have anything left in the tank after last night's emotional win? Sure they do, but I'm backing K State. The Wildcats looked great in an easy win against a very hot Okie State team. The Cats played great and they will have the hometown KC crowd backing them tonight. There will be some Jayhawk fans rooting for them to lose, but secretly, everyone in that building wants a K State/KU finale in the Sprint Center. I was very impressed with the quickness and outside shooting of Baylor, but K State has a great guard tandem in Clemente and Pullen. K State's weakness is their inside game and Baylor will not be able to exploit that. This should be a good game but I'm taking K State. The cats won in Baylor, the Bears won in Manhatten. Who plays better defense? K State. Who's playing for more? K State. This should be a great game and I initially wanted to go 5 units but Baylor scared me back down to 3 on K State tonight.

 

K State -1 1/2 PC 3*** (WIN)

A-10
Round 3 in the battle of Ohio
Dayton vs. Xavier
6:30 PM EST
I'm 2-0 this year in this series hitting Dayton as a side and the over. Today I'm advocating an over in this game. I watched both Dayton/Xavier tilts this year and they were both very entertaining games. These two teams hate each other and on a neutral court, I had a real tough time picking a side so I went after the total. Some stats:

**the over is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 in this series.

 

**The 2 games this year landed on 152 and 145 with listed totals of 134 and 135.

**Dayton covered both games this year including a 90 point output at home last time out.

**In last year's A-10 tourney these two hooked up and landed on 139 total with a listed total of 126.

For those of you that have been with me throughout the year, you know I like Dayton and think they are a very athletic team. This game might start slow but Dayton loves to push and Xavier will use that inside out game that has been working so well for them lately.

PC 3*** on Round III Dayton/Xavier over 134 (WIN)


The Memphis Grizzlies have put together a franchise-record winning streak on the road. Matching that success at home, however, has been much more difficult. Memphis, which is opening a three-game homestand, won its last game there Monday, beating league-worst New Jersey 107-101 to snap an eight-game home losing streak. The Knicks are already assured of their franchise-record ninth consecutive losing season after falling 97-87 at San Antonio on Wednesday for their 13th loss in 16 games. "Whether we win or not ... everybody wants to win, but the objective is, we'd better be competing," coach Mike D'Antoni said. "And that's what we are doing."  The Knicks are expected to have Eddy Curry available as he attempts to come back from left knee surgery.  This should be a nice boost for a team playing with nothing to lose.  We'll take the points tonight as we see a 4 point game here.

NEW YORK is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 103.9, OPPONENT 103.6
NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. 
The average score was NEW YORK 102.3, OPPONENT 106.9
Play NY Knicks +8, HKC 3* (WIN)


Take Xavier -2 1/2 over Dayton at 6:30 tonight for 3 units...

 

I have -2 1/2 but I see -3 in a lot of places so get this one in early.  Xavier is the far superior team here and I think they really want to avenge that blow out loss they had against Dayton last month.  Xavier is coached very well and actually are better statistically than Dayton.  Xavier scores more points per game, they shoot the ball better from the field and free throw line, they are the better rebounding team, and are better at not turning over the ball. Xavier has won 9 out of their last 10 whereas Dayton have been playing mediocre ball.  Also, these trends favor Xavier heavily.  Xavier is 8-3 ats over their last 11.  The favorite in this series is 13-4 ats over the last 17 games.  Xavier is 10-1 ats over their last 11 when scoring at least 90 points the previous game and a staggering 20-9 ats over the last 29 games playing on a neutral site as a favorite.  Dayton on the other hand has not done well recently.  They are 1-6-1 ats over their last 8 games, 1-4 ats in their last 5 on a neutral site, and 0-5-1 ats in their last 6 playing a team with a SU winning record.Essentially we have a team that statistically is better in almost every category and the trends are backing them as well. I'll take Xavier -2 1/2 over Dayton at 6:30 for 3 JT units... (WIN)

Take Akron -3 1/2 over Western Michigan for 3 JT units at 7:00.

Maybe I am getting suckered in here but we have Akron that beat W. Michigan at their own stadium earlier this year and now play again.  Akron is the better offensive and defensive team here not to mention they rebound better and have the better bench.  If you look at W. Michigan's schedule they have not beaten many quality teams this year. The trends favor Akron tremendously also.  W. Michigan is 6-19-1 over their last 26 games ats on a neutral court, 5-16-1 ats following in their last 22 following an ats win, 1-4 ats in their last 5 ats as a dog between 0.5-6.5, and most importantly 1-7 ats the last 8 times they have played Akron. Meanwhile Akron are 5-0 ats following a win in which they scored at least 90 points, 5-1 ats in their last 6 as a favorite of 0.5-6.5, 5-2-1 ats over their last 8 on a neutral court and did I mention that the favorite in this series is 14-3 ats over the last 17 games. I'm biting here for sure and I will lay 3.5 with Akron at 7:00 for 3 units... (loss)

My final game is Indiana +10 -120 over Boston at 7:30 for 3 JT units....

I flat out think this is a lot of points to give a team especially when the team that's laying the points are not playing well right now.  Did you know that fans were booing the Celtics their last game against Memphis and by the 4th quarter the stands were basically empty? Did you know that despite Indiana's crappy record they score more points a game than Boston, rebound the ball better, and have a better bench? I think the guards for Indiana can at least contain Rondo and Allen.  Meanwhile the big men up front for Indiana can out run Boston's front line all day long.  I don't think the front court can hang with Indiana's young guys. We have some nice trends that back my play up as well.  Boston is 15-38-1 ats over the last 54 home games, 10-29 ats over their last 39 as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, 0-4 ats over their last 4 following a double digit loss at home(which means they don't bounce back like a championship team should do) and a paltry 1-8 ats over their last 9 home games versus a team with a losing record on the road. Meanwhile Indiana are 6-2 ats over their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game,  4-0 ats over the last 4 meetings against Boston, and the underdog in this series are 20-7 ats over the last 27 games. The bottom line is Boston beat Indiana by 9 points the last time they played right before xmas.  The game was actually tied going into the 4th quarter and Boston pulled away at the end.  I think Boston was a better team then then they are now and I'm going to get 10. I'll take the points.  Indiana +10 -120(I bought a half a point) for 3 units tonight at 7:30.(loss)

 

T-bone went 2-1 for again yesterday and has two strong plays for you today.  T-Bone went through all 39 college games and all the research and came up with these two winners.

7pm-Georgia Tech covered vs. UNC and T-Bone was all over it but we saw some things during that game that are very concerning.  Maryland has been one of the hottest teams in the country at the right time.  Terrapins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5,9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 22-7 ATS in their last 29 vs. Atlantic Coast. Yellow Jackets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Maryland -4 for 3 T-Bone units. (loss)

9pm- Richmond(24-7) will be facing UMass(12-19) in the A-10 tournament knowing it will probably be in the dance regardless of this outcome, but Richmond wants a conference title.  Richmond is one of the best ATS teams in the country at 17-9-1 while UMass in a mere 12-14 ATS.  Spiders are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games as a favorite, 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite,9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Atlantic 10. Minutemen are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog. Take Richmond -9.5 for 3 T-Bone units. (loss)

 

Big XII Opening Round
We smoked the Valley tourney going 3-0 ATS for BPO clients. Now I delve into my "other" backyard the Big XII and look forward to banging this tourney for ya

Nebraska vs. Missouri
3:00 PM EST
I'm taking the over in this game. While Nebraska traditionally plays a very solid defense and slow ball, Mizzou will bring that 40 minutes of hell pressure to the court and force Nebraska to get into a running game. Look at the line, Mizzou is a double digit favorite. That tells me the linesmakers believe that Mizzou's defensive pressure will win out which will increase the tempo of the game. I'm not going big on this game because a day game in the Big XII tourney is unpredictable. I really do believe though that Mizzou's full court pressure will eventually force Nebraska out of their half court shell. If Mizzou is hot from the perimeter, this game will break 140. Let's roll on what I think should be an over play.

PC 3*** on Mizzou/Nebraska over 130 (WIN)

Bedlam Part III
Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State
7:00 PM EST
Again, another over. Oklahoma State has finished the season strong and they are a lock for the NCAA tourney. Oklahoma's only way into the tournament is to win the Big XII tourney and get the auto bid. To me, that translates into a high scoring affair. James Anderson is the best #3 forward you haven't heard about. He's absolutely amazing and can take over a game with his scoring ability. Okie State loves to run and Capel's boys should indulge the Cowboys in what I think is the best game of the opening round of the Big XII tourney. The Sooners will be desperate for the win (see free play) and will run and gun with the Cowboys. The inside play of Moses is non existent for the Cowboys, and Oklahoma will feed Tiny Gallon and use an inside out game with Willie Warren to create scoring opportunities. This should be a low scoring first half and then an absolute barn burner 2nd half. In fact, if you play 2nd halfs, take the over with confidence no matter what the number if the first half falls belows 70. Don't take it if the first half total is 71 or more, but if it's under 70, take the 2nd half over with confidence. I really see this game being the most entertaining and the last 4 minutes of regulation should get us that over.

PC 3*** on Bedlam Part III over 142 (the battle of Oklahoma) (WIN)

 

I took Monday and Tuesday off as nothing really appealed enough to me to put my own money on it however tonight I found a game I like.

Take Oklahoma St -6 1/2 over Oklahoma at 7:00 for 3 units....

I rolled with Oklahoma big a few weeks ago against Texas and now I'm going against them as they have packed it in for the season.  I think they want to lose and get the season over with.  Oklahoma have lost their last 9 out of their last 10 games.  Their 9 losses the average losing margin is 12 points.  Oklahoma st. destroyed them in their last game and I don't think they let up here.  James Anderson is a beast and won't be stopped tonight.  I think he puts up at least 25.  The all american is also a second team academic all american in the big 12 so the junior knows the importance of this game. Head coach Travis Ford is under rated as he has this team believing.  Oklahoma are 3-9 ats over the last 12.  Oklahoma state meanwhile are 16-7 ats following an ats win and 4-0 ats over the last 4 versus a team with a losing record.

Take the Okie St Cowboys -6 1/2 for 3 JT units at 7:00 (WIN)

8:05pm Current Line:  Denver -7.5
The Nuggets open a four-game trip Wednesday night looking for a fourth consecutive win overall and sixth straight road victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves. Anthony's unselfish play set the tone for the Nuggets over the last three games, as they averaged 29.0 assists in that span. They may need to continue to share the ball consistently with Kenyon Martin out. The forward missed the last two contests and is sidelined indefinitely after beginning plasma therapy for chronic patella tendinitis Monday. Martin is averaging 11.8 points and a team-best 9.6 rebounds, and his physical defense is also a key to Denver's success. After Joey Graham started for Martin and had eight points and three rebounds in a victory over Indiana on Friday, coach George Karl gave Johan Petro his first start of the season Sunday. The center responded with six points and a season high 10 boards.  Minnesota has lost six straight and six in a row at home.

Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents. 

(43-15 since 1996.) (74.1%, +26.5 units)

Play Against - Home teams (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. 

(26-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.3%, +16.1 units)

Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - vs. division opponents, off 3 or more consecutive home wins. 

(45-17 since 1996.) (72.6%, +26.3 units)

Play Denver -7.5, HKC 3* (WIN)

 

5:00pm Current Line:  Wyoming -1
It's no secret we have struggled on the college hardwood this season but as in all our sports our numbers become stronger as the season goes on and we are onto a conf tourny system that has been drilling the man.  Air Force has been garbage all year and is currently 0-5 in their L5, 2-11 on the road for the year and 1-15 in conf games this season.  Wyoming who does not have much better stats in any of these areas in still better.  The thing that should bring this one home for us is the fact the Air Force refuses to play uptempo while Wyoming trys to force opponents to run.  Wyoming should control the temp in this one and take it to the Fly Boys.  These two split their season series with each team winning on their home floor.  Wyoming has covered 3 in a row ATS and will make it 4 in a row today in Sin City. 

Play Against - An underdog (AIR FORCE) - after scoring 55 points or less in a loss to a conference rival against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points. (35-15 since 1997.) (70%, +18.5 units) 

Play On - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WYOMING) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 50 points or less 2 straight games. (30-9 since 1997.) (76.9%, +20.1)

Play Wyoming -1, HKC 3* (loss)

 

Seton Hall and Notre Dame.  In this matchup you will see alot of common ground between these two teams.  They both have explosive offense, have a high offensive FG%, and neither teams likes to play alot of defense.  Both teams have been hot but I think this is the end for ND.  Since Seton Hall got whooped by Pitt on 2-6-10 they are 8-2 with some impressive wins.  Last night they almost blew the game with a few minutes left after being up by 26 points.  They will be refocused because the Hall is a team that plays better when playing consecutive days, its something I can't explain but they are in a rythem and I look for it to continue.  ND will miss Harangody's presence tonight as SH should outshoot and out rebound them.

The Hall +1.5 for 3 Mr W Units (loss)

 

Texas is a team that has burned me all year long.  They have underachieved in a tough division and tonight they should be motivated to play.  Their offense is insane and ranked 6th in the nation, they have some great shooters and rebound well on both sides of the ball.  Iowa State is coming off their biggest win of the year beating Kansas State.  Kansas State forgot to show up and shot 34% and went 3-23 on 3point plays!  Iowa State played great shooting 28-59 which is 47.5% and made it to the free throw line 33 times.  I don't look for Texas to win any title's this year but they are a much better and athletic team then Iowa State.  This line is set at 9 to even out money and Vegas did an excellent job with that.  I'm not buying into it and laying the 9

Texas -9 for 2.5 Mr W Units (loss)

 

T-Bone went undefeated again yesterday, were you there for the ride? T-bone is riding a 16-5 basketball run and has 3 strong 3* plays for you on a busy Wednesday in College Basketball. 

Arkansas Pine Bluff defeated Mississippi Valley State by 16 just 6 days ago at home in a game where they were up big early.  The only thing different today is the venue and that is not enough to get MVS to cover.  Arkansas Pine Bluff is 14-4 in conference while MVS is a mere 8-10.

Take Ark Pine Bluff -8.5 for 3 T-BONE units. (loss)

             Colorado defeated Texas Tech by 11 just 4 days ago in Colorado and Tech is coming off of 7 game losing streak and look like they have checked out for the season.  Buffaloes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 and 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Big 12. Red Raiders are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games,2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big 12.

Take Colorado even for 3 T-BONE units. (loss)

             Texas looks to make a push towards the big dance and are 9-7 in coference as opposed to Iowa State who is 4-12 in conference.  Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Cyclones are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.

Take Texas -8.5 for 3 T-BONE units (loss)

T-Bone was one point away from another 2-0 College Basketball night and we have two more strong plays for you on Tuesday night.      

George Washington will play at Dayton in the conference tournament and if there is anything we learned from yesterday it is that the underdog will hang around.  Colonials are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Flyers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic 10 and are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Take George Washington + 12 for 3 T-BONE units. (WIN)

            Rutgers and Cincinnati are two very equal teams playing on a neutral court, so T-Bone questions why Rutgers is a 7.5 point dog. Scarlet Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big East. Bearcats are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite, 6-20 ATS in their last 26 vs. Big East, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. If you want some deep trends the Bearcats are 15-36-1 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite. 

Take Rutgers + 7.5 for 3 T-BONE units. (WIN)

7:05pm
Current Line:  Charlotte Bobcats -3.5
With 21 games remaining, the Charlotte Bobcats are making a push for their first playoff appearance. A victory over the Miami Heat on Tuesday night could be critical to those hopes. Charlotte looks to win its third straight over the visiting Heat, who turned in one of their worst performances ever in their last game at Time Warner Cable Arena. The Bobcats are a half game behind Chicago for the final Eastern Conference playoff spot, and one game behind Miami. Charlotte looks to erase that gap, and win the potentially important H2H tiebreaker, by clinching the season series and capping off a perfect homestand. The Bobcats defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 98-83 on Friday and topped Golden State 101-90 on Saturday.  The last time the Heat came to town Jan. 20 Charlotte rolled to its franchise-best ninth straight home win, 104-65. It was the Bobcats' most lopsided victory and set a team record for fewest points allowed. Charlotte has won five of six at home versus Miami.

MIAMI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.
The average score was MIAMI 94.8, OPPONENT 101.7
CHARLOTTE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 103.3, OPPONENT 97.0
CHARLOTTE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games off a home win this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 104.9, OPPONENT 87.3
CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after playing a home game this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 104.4, OPPONENT 88.2

Play Charlotte Bobcats -3.5, HKC 4**** (WIN)

Let's keep it rollin:

CBB
Summit League Final
9:00 PMEST
I have bet on spots on Oakland and I'm taking them tonight. Oakland has played almost everyone in the top 75 of RPI tough and tonight they get a chance to punch their dance ticket. Oakland is a good team. They are an offensive juggernaut as well averaging close to 80 a game. This is easily the best game on the docket tonight in my opinion and the public is going with IUPUI for some unknown reason. Oakland has played 4 teams in the top 25 at some point this season and they have easily covered all 4 ATS wise. It's been a long time since they have danced. I see Oakland winning by 5++ and was shocked when they were the small underdog. I'm on them.

Oakland +1 1/2 PC 3*** (WIN)
 

NBA: Toronto @ LA Lakers
10:05 PM EST
Cmon, the Lakers aren't this bad. They have been on the coldest streak of their season but what better way to get healthy then playing the no defense Raptors at home. The Lakers finally get home after losing and falling short of the Magic, in a game they back door covered. The Raptors have Bosh back, but Hedo Turkoglo is out and you must have a s harpshooter to augment an offensive attack against the Lakers. Bynum, Gasol, and Odom can clog up the middle and slow up Bosh. I don't see players like Calderon getting the better of perimeter defenders like Artest and Kobe. This game will be a blowout. Lakers get healthy tonight against the Raptors and absolutely decimate the Raptors tonight.

 

PC 3*** on LA Lakers -11 1/2 (loss)
  

Dallas @ Minnesota
8:05 PM EST
Not a huge write up here. Dallas  owns one of the best ATS and SU marks on the road and I'm backing their hot streak. I personally played them in the last one as they beat the Bulls as a 1 point dog. Minnesota is a decent team but Dallas (as predicted in my preseason writeup) is pushing to be the best team in the West. The Mavericks have been great since Caron came over and Minnesota is already playing for next year. Should be a laugher, I"m counting on it.
PC 3*** on Dallas - 7 1/2 (WIN)

PC Note: I will have a huge 5***** play in the Big East Tourney and a big 4**** coming in the Big XII quarterfinal tourney.

T-Bone won you money again yesterday and is currently on a 13-4 run up 27.8 units; you need to jump on for the ride before the college basketball season is over.  Coincidently both games picked here will be back to back on ESPN2, make your plays and watch the games for a profitable Monday.
    
Fairfield and Sienna matched up in February and March with Sienna winning in Fairfield by 2 and at home by 8.  This is a neutral site game although it is only a few miles from Sienna and is for a ticket to the big dance and it will be a closely contested game throughout.  Stags are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. Metro Atlantic Athletic and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Take Fairfield + 8 for 3 T-BONE units. (WIN)
    
Appalachian State defeated Wofford in their only matchup of the year back in December and T-bone can’t really figure out how they are the underdog in another game that will determine who is in March Madness.  The Mountaineers are on fire and are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Southern, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. Wofford is trending the other way as the Terriers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southern,1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Take Appalachian State + 4 for 3 T-BONE units. (loss)

8:05pm
Current Line:  Memphis Grizz -8.5
As has been the norm with most Nets games this season the oddsmakers have installed some Reverse Line Movement in an attempt to throw off the cappers.  If there is one thing we can assure you is that following the RLM in Nets game this season would have hit your wallet in a very, very hard way.  Nice try Vegas!  This line opened correctly to begin with as the Grizz were initially laying double digiits.  Though Memphis has not played well at home recently this is just the type of team and game they need to get that shit turned the right direction.  If all goes how we see it this one could get flat out Fugly.  New Jersey will likely start a stretch of four games in six nights without Yi Jianlian whch will only put more on the shoulders of Lopez inside.
NEW JERSEY is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. 
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.3, OPPONENT 106.3
NEW JERSEY is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in non-conference games this season. 
The average score was NEW JERSEY 91.5, OPPONENT 105.0

Play Memphis Grizzlies -8.5, HKC 3* (loss)

The Washington Wizards have covered 4 of their last five on the road and get a big line at Boston. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Celtics are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest,1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. Wizards are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Boston and the road team is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Take Washington +12.5 for 3 T-BONE units (WIN)


10:35pm
Current Line:  Denver -7
The Portland Trail Blazers have suddenly been finding success by pushing the ball up the court. Their next opponent is quite familiar with running this kind of offense. Looking to win their fourth game in a row, the Trail Blazers try to keep up with the high-powered Denver Nuggets on Sunday night at the Pepsi Center.  Roy had one of his best performances of the season in Portland's last game against the Nuggets scoring 41 in a 107-96 home win on Christmas. Martin is out for this one and Melo has been receiving intravenous fluids since Friday's game.  This one will be tighter as expected and it's never a bad idea to be against the last favorite of a Sunday.

PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season. 
The average score was PORTLAND 96.7, OPPONENT 94.0 

Play Portland +7, HKC 3* (loss)

Take Loyola Marymount over S.F. -1 at 9:00 for 3 units...

This is my 1st play and most likely I will add more...
Loyola is flat out the better team here and have beaten better opponents.  Loyola started out 3-7 and have since gone 14-7.  They are 7-3 in their last 10 games played and have more momentum than S.F. right now.  S.F. beat them twice this year so you have double revenge factor as well.  S.F. is 2-5 ats in their last 7 on a neutral court.  Loyola score more points per game, they are the better shooting and rebounding team as well as better and limiting turnovers.

Loyola buries this team tonight and move on to play Gonzaga in the next round

Loyola -1 at 9:00 for 3 JT units. (WIN)

Take Houston -4 over Minn. at 8:00 for 3 units...
Houston has not given up yet and are still playing hard.  Minn. is 1-9 over the last 10 games.  Houston score more points, have the better defense, bench, they are better at limiting turnovers, and are better at the free throw line.  That's almost every statistical category.  Finally, I can't over look this.  Houston is 8-1-1 ats in their last 10 versus Minn. and the favorite is 10-1-1 ats over the last 12.

Take Houston -4 tonight for 3 JT units... (WIN)

Let's keep the run going:
NBA:
San Antonio @ memphis:
8:05 PM EST
You see I play a lot on the Grizzlies. Tonight, I advocate we roll the under. Memphis plays well on the road, terrible at home. Against a team that can play great defense, I'm rolling the under tonight. San Antonio will give Gasol all kinds of problems inside. Manu and Parker can contain Mayo on the point. Memphis will have to slow down the game and play great defense if they want a shot to win their first home game in the last 5 tries. The Grizzlies desperately want to break their home losing streak and I think that translates into a better defensive effort tonight.
**San Antonio is 16-13 ATS on the under on the road.
**Memphis is 18-11 ATS on the under at home.
**The total has gone under 7 out of the last 8 times these teams have hooked up in Memphis.
I think we see a much more inspired effort by the Grizzlies at home tonight and that equates to a low scoring game as both teams try to win with defense.
PC 3*** on Memphis/San Antonio under 198 (WIN)

T-Bone won you money again last night and is 11-3 in his last 14.  We have 2 strong plays on a very busy college basketball Saturday as we are staying very selective.             

            UTEP defeated UAB by 9 in overtime in Alabama in late January and now the game will be played in Texas.  Miners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Conference USA.  Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5, 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog,1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Take UTEP -6 for 3 T-BONE units. (loss)

            Memphis is 14-2 at home while Tulsa is a mere 5-5 on the road and Memphis defeated Tulsa by 7 on the road in February. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. Golden Hurricane are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Take Memphis -7 for 3 T-BONE units. (WIN)

Tonight we have the Hall traveling to play Providence.  Both teams don't play much defense and rely on their offenses to keep them in games.  Providence has just recently lost a bunch of games but to teams of high caliber like Pitt, Nova, South Florida, Cinci, Gtown and Marq.  Providence had their chance to beat each of these teams but just came up short.  One thing I like about them is despite a losing record they are 8-8 at home and never give up.  Seton Hall is a team that gets frustrated if Hazell is not carrying the team.  This is a good spot to take a home dog as Providence is more then capable of beating the Hall.

Providence +2 for 3 Mr W Units (loss)

 7:30pm

Current Line:  NY Knicks -8.5
Two garbage teams meet up today in the Garden and we have the ATS winner for you here.  In a nice revenge spot for the Knicks as one of the Nets very few wins came at the expense of the Knicks earlier in the season.  Against a Knicks team that can score with anyone (defense is their problem) the Nets who have failed to score 90 points 30 times this season will struggle to keep up. We'll back the home team Knicks tonight to take it to their rival from down the road.
NEW JERSEY is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. 
The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.3, OPPONENT 107.0
NEW JERSEY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 200 this season. 
The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.2, OPPONENT 112.2

Play NY Knicks -8.5, HKC 3* (loss)

 

Arch Madness Play #2:
We hit the first play last night. Here's play #2:
Mo State vs. Wichita State:
7:00 PM EST
I'm all over the Shockers. Mo State did not cover and had all kinds of trouble against Evansville as predicted here on BPO Sports corp. last night. As I stated in last night's write up, the Bears are faltering down the stretch barely beating Evansville in the play in game. Wichita State is a cut above at this stage of the season and their slow deliberate pace of play should be money for Shocker backers tonight. I expect this line to go up so get it NOW!
Stats:
__Mo State is 1-5 SU in their last 6 against the Shockers.
__Wichita State is a jaw dropping 11-3 ATS in the last 14 against the bears.
__Mo State is 1-9 ATS in it's last 10 on the road in the Valley.

Guys, both games between the two teams have been tight. Both teams have 20 wins. Wichita State still has an outside shot at the dance if they make a deep run. I look for a close first half and the Shockers covering for us by 6 or more at the end.
PC 3*** on Wichita State -2 1/2 (WIN)
(Arch madness ATS: 1-0..WSU pending)

Arch Madness Night cap:
Indiana State vs. Illinois state
9:35 PM EST
I'm all over the Sycamores. If you follow the Valley, you know the Redbirds of Illinois State play to the level of their competition. Indiana State is playing well (4-1 ATS in their last 5) and play the Redbirds tough, year in year out. This year's season series is 1-1 ATS but look at the history including Arch madness:
**Indiana State is 6-1 ATS (inlcuding this year) in the last 7 matchups.
**Indiana State is 6-3 SU win record in the last 9 against the Redbirds.
The Sycamores can run and they can also play slow ball. This is way too many points for a hot team like Indiana State. I have to advocate we roll on the Sycamores of Indiana State.
PC 3*** on Indiana State +6 1/2 (WIN)
(Arch Madness Play #3)

NBA:
Milwaukee @ Washington
7:05 PM EST
I hammered this game last week and I'm going to hammer it again. Put simply, the Bucks are playing incredible basketball and I see no reason not to back them. They were a missed tip away from being 8-0 SU in their last 8 road games. 
**Bucks are 38-21 ATS
**Bucks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 on the road.
**Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against the Wizards.
**Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road against the Wizards.
I look at the young legs of Bogut (injured part of the year) Jennings (potential rookie of the year candidate) Iraslova (great Euro player) and see a team that is running and clicking on all cylinders. The Bucks are currently in the 7'th hole in the playoffs and with this continued run can get as high as #5. They won't let this opportunity against a patsie slip. Milwaukee won by 13 at home 2 days ago, no reason to not lay on them tonight.
PC 2** on Milwaukee -4 (WIN)

---

I'm a little late here but I think this is the best game out there tonight.

Take UT Chattanooga -1 1/2 over Georgia Southern at 9:30 for 3 units.
Ok I will bite here and take this game.  We have two teams that aren't very good playing each other.  One team is 1-16 on the road and the other team is 11-5 at home.  The team that is 11-5 at home actually won this tournament last year.  Chatanooga beat this team by 12 points earlier.  The favorite is 4-1 ats over the last 5 games between these two teams and Georgia Southern is 2-5 ats in the last 7 versus Chatanooga.

I'm biting and taking the Mocs here -1 1/2 for 3 JT units.... (WIN)

---

I'm gonna keep my units low until the W Selections catch fire!
Back to business.  Georgia State is playing Hofstra to start this little tourney.  Just last week Hofsta beat Georgia State 87-74 and now they come in as a 6 point favorite.  Why only 6 points?  It's because these teams are actually a very good matchup.  Georgia State shot 25-65, and make less then 52% of their free throws in this game.  Also Hofstra was banging three's from everywhere and covered as a 9point fav in the first matchup.  I look for the 2nd matchup to be a bit more competitive and can't see G-State shooting this cold again.  Look for the better defense to emerge in this game and that is G-State.
Georgia State +6 for 2 Mr W Units (WIN)

---

T-Bone was a bucket away from another 2-0 on Thursday bringing his current run to 10-2.  T-bone is crushing the hoops plays, you need to continue riding the streak. We have 2 more winners on Friday, the college basketball season is almost over, get your profits now before it’s too late.

We have a 4 star play in college basketball in the Santa Clara vs. San Diego game.  Santa Clara defeated SD by 16 in early February and are  4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games as an underdog and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Toreros are 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games,3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Furthermore, the underdog in this match up is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 match ups. 
Take Santa Clara + 3.5 for 4 T-BONE units. (WIN)

Home field advantage usually plays a big role in the Ivy league but it cannot save Penn(5-20) from a sound beating at the hands of Harvard (20-6).  Harvard is 9-4 on the road this year while Penn is 2-9 at home.  Harvard defeated Penn by 14 in early February and this will be the same formula. Crimson are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in the Ivy League. Quakers are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home underdog and1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. Road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Take Harvard -7.5 for 3 T-BONE units. (loss)

---

8:05 pm
Current Line:  Orlando Magic -10
Before hosting the defending NBA champions in a second rematch of last summers playoff finals series and a potential preview for this year's, the Orlando Magic get what should be another easy tuneup. The Magic look to win their fourth straight Friday when they visit the New Jersey Nets, seeking their third victory in as many games against the league's worst team. Orlando has a two game lead over Atlanta in the Southeast Division for the second seed in the Eastern Conference. While that race is tight, the outcomes of its recent contests haven't been nearly as close. In the last week, the Magic have posted wins over Miami, Philadelphia and Golden State by an average of 21.3 points. They are coming off a 117-90 victory against the Warriors on Wednesday. Dwight Howard led with 28 points and 12 rebounds, helping Orlando open a 30-point lead early in the second half. Orlando has had little trouble with New Jersey, holding the Nets to an average of 78.5 points in its two victories. Howard has averaged 23.0 points while shooting 72.0 percent in those games.  The Nets have lost a club-record 10 straight at home. This one may look too easy but trust us it will be!

Play On - Road favorites (ORLANDO) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games. (49-18 since 1996.) (73.1%, +29.2 units)

ORLANDO is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 2 seasons. 
The average score was ORLANDO 106.5, OPPONENT 92.4

Play Orlando Magic -10, HKC 3* (PUSH)

 

T-Bone banged out another winning night going 2-0 on Wednesday bringing his current run to 9-1.  T-bone is making money; you need to come for the ride. We have 2 more winners on Thursday night, the college basketball season is almost over, get your profits now before it’s too late.

            Richmond is 13-1 at home while Dayton (a good home team) is only 3-6 on the road.  Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these teams.  Spiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Atlantic 10 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.  Flyers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic 10.  These two teams are trending in different directions, Take Richmond -3 for 3 T-Bone units. (WIN)

             New Mexico State has a winning record on the road but all we need is a cover here and the Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 on the road.  Nevada is 13-1 at home but 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home.  Aggies are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Wolf Pack is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Athletic. Take New Mexico State + 6.5 for 3 T-Bone units. (loss)

8:00pm
Current Line:  LA Lakers -5
A Kobe Bryant buzzer beater lifted Los Angeles past the Heat in the latest tight game of this series.  Wade and the Heat come into this one focused as they have a slim 1 game lead for the 8th and final spot in the East.  They've held up well against the Lakers (46-15) since the beginning of last season, however. Miami beat visiting Los Angeles 89-87 on Dec. 19, 2008, behind 35 from Wade, then stayed close throughout in a 108-105 loss at Staples Center on Jan. 11, 2009.  Miami had lost four straight heading into Tuesday's meeting with Golden State, but Wade delivered one of his finest performances of the season. He scored 35 points on 15-of-23 shooting to go along with 12 assists and four steals in a 110-106 win. Though the Heat are just a game up on Charlotte for the No. 8 seed, they're only two behind Toronto for No. 5.  We're going to take wins any way we can, Wade said recently . We only have 21 games left. Any win right now is a very big win, especially in this race.  We look for Wade to put this team on his back for the rest of this season and tonight as well.  This dog has a chance at winning this game!

Play Against - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's). 
(47-17 since 1996.) (73.4%, +28.3 units)

Play On - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 42+ games. 
(39-12 since 1996.) (76.5%)

Play Miami Heat +5, HKC 3* (WIN)

A few weeks ago Washington was ranked and looking like a nice dog going into the tourney,since then things have changed.  Now they are fighting for a spot in the NCAA tourney but things are looking dim.  Tonight they go to the home court of the Ducks who were dealing with nothing but adversity a few weeks ago.  In the past few games the Ducks have looked like a team ready to play, I think they will bring that fierce attitude into their home building tonight and control the offense of Washington.  Oregon beat Washington a few weeks ago as a double digit dog and now they are only a 5 point underdog with Washington's fate on the line.  Lets go with the team that will be playing relaxed and with nothing to lose.

Oregon Ducks +5 for 2.5 Mr W Units (loss)

Arch Madness
The moniker for the Mo Valley Tourney. I smoked this tourney last year and I'm going to do it again for BPO clients.

Evansville @ Mo State (play in game)
9:35 PM EST
The Mo State Bears are 19-11 and thinking they have a good shot at the post season NIT. Anyone that wins the Valley gets the auto bid to the NCAA big dance but both teams know this is unrealistic. I looked at this matchup and first thought that this matchup had the correct line. But I'm backing off on that. I'm playing the dog and would not be surprised at a SU win by the double digit dog Aces. Let's start with some stats:
**Evansville has won their last 2 games straight up including a shocking, drop your jaw win against Mo Valley Power Northern Iowa.
**Evansville is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games.
**Both teams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 on the road in the Valley. (This tournament is in St. Louis..hence the name Arch Madness!)
**The two teams are 1-1 ATS this year in league play with the road team winning ATS in the two games.
I look at Mo State and I see a team that peaked early and in non-conference, but hasn't done much down the stretch. They are fading and tired. They will have the in-state support but Evansville will have a lot of confidence after beating #24 ranked Northern Iowa. The Purple Aces are playing their best ball of the season, the Bears are fading down the stretch. Let's go with the hotter team with fresher legs and more confidence.
PC 3*** on Evansville + 10 (WIN)

Memphis @ Chicago
NBA
8:00 PM EST
I'm all over the Grizzlies. This team is Jekyll and Hyde. Three straight SU and ATS wins on the road, 2 straight ATS and SU losses at home. This team plays better on the road. The Bulls are making a late season charge but have been beset by injuries. No Joakim Noah tonight, Luol Deng is day to day and while I expect him to play, it will be interesting to see if he is at full strength. First time all star Derrick Rose is ailing, I have him in fantasy and he has yet to finish a game in his last 3 times out. The Grizzlies are a much better road team than home as evidenced by their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 road games and a 17-13 ATS ledger on the road this year. The Bulls will turn to some role players tonight but against Gasol inside, they are going to be lacking Tyrus Thomas can't stay out of foul trouble and the athletic John Salmons will have trouble with the quick frontcourt of Memphis. I have to ride the Grizzlies tonight as a dog.

PC 3*** on Memphis +5 1/2 (WIN)

There is a game out there that STINKS... and when something stinks, you know BP is on the case! Tonight when UCLA heads into Arizona, Arizona is favored -5.5 at line open. In January these 2 teams met ... With UCLA being favored 6 at home, Zona gave them a 14 pt whooping (77-63) ... Now here we are, in Arizona, and Zona opens at -5.5. As of right now, 70+ % is on Zona, and the line is down to Zona -4.5 in most spots with some 5's still out there. You know I always love that against the Public reverse line movements. This matchup should be a good one regardless, but I will take the Road Dog in this one, with what I believe is a line that has some stink to it!
BP TRAP 3*** UCLA +4.5 Half Pt loss

Take Phoenix -3 over the Clippers at 10:30 for 3 units...

I hit my college gom earlier this week and now I find by nba gow.
We have a Phoenix team that dominates the Clippers statistically tonight.  Phoenix is one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now winning 7 of their last 8.  They know changes are coming after the season however this team play like a team and genuinely care about one another.  They want to win and I believe want to upset some teams in the playoffs this year.

There are some unbelievable trends in this one.  Just a few are the Suns are 4-1 ats in their last 5 against the Clippers, 5-0 ats in their last 5,  they are 9-0 ats in their last nine both when their previous opponent scored 100 points and also allowed 100 points which is the case tonight.  Phoenix is 7-1 ats in their last 8 road games and 7-1 ats in their last 8 road games against a home team with a winning record.  I could go on and one with trends as they heavily favor Phoenix tonight.

Finally, Phoenix is better than the Clippers at points per game, fg%, free throw%, rebounding, turnovers, and have the better bench.

I rate this play a 3* and gow and not a 4* gom only because I know the public will be hammering Phoenix tonight.  Also the trends are so overwhelming for Phoenix that as a veteran capper I've learned to not over due the units at risk when soooo much is in your favor.  I'm in this game for the long haul so 3 units is solid for me.

Phoenix -3 tonight for 3 JT units... GOW (WIN)

7:05pm
Current Line:  Atlanta Hawks -8.5
The Philadelphia 76ers needed a spark when they signed Allen Iverson in December. Now, with the 10-time All-Star's second stint with the team over, the Sixers will have to find another way to add some life to their disappointing season. A day after announcing Iverson will not return to the team this season, Philadelphia visits the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday night. 
With Iverson gone, Philadelphia has to focus on the Hawks, who have won four of five and trail Southeast Division-leading Orlando by two games. After getting the snub job and missing the All-Star game Josh Smith has been a crucial part of Atlanta's recent surge, averaging 21.0 points and 13.5 rebounds in the past four games. Coming down the stretch we really like the way this Hawks team plays, against a poor defensive 6ers team look for Atlanta to light it up at home tonight.
ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season. 
The average score was ATLANTA 110.3, OPPONENT 97.9
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season. 
The average score was ATLANTA 110.6, OPPONENT 97.6
ATLANTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. 
The average score was ATLANTA 106.1, OPPONENT 90.0

Play Atlanta Hawks -8.5, HKC 3* (WIN)

T-Bone is 10-3 in his last 13 and 7-1 in his last 8 hoops plays. We have a 2-pack Wednesday with 6 units of play for you.

Memphis defeated UAB by 10 in early February in Memphis but this game is in Alabama. The game should be closer but Memphis will still prevail as the underdog in a very important game for the bubble. Memphis is 6-3 on the road, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5 and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Take Memphis + 3 for 3 T-Bone units. (WIN)

This is the first NBA over/under play of the year for T-Bone so you know it’s good. Memphis and New Orleans played twice in January and the totals were 211 and 224. Over is 12-2 in Grizzlies last 14 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5, 12-5 in Grizzlies last 17 road games, 7-3 in Hornets last 10 vs. Western Conference. Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in New Orleans and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams.
Take the over 203 in Memphis/New Orleans for 3 T-Bone units. (WIN)

Take Maryland +2 over Duke at 9:00 for 3 units.

I've been waiting for this line to go up and my line at 2 is the most favorable so I'm locking in now.  I'm going to get points with a team that has lost only once at home and is seeking revenge.  Duke has shown to not be great on the road as all four of their losses are away.  Both teams are hot right now and this one is going to be close however Maryland on national tv will pull away and win this one.

Maryland is 12-3 ats in their last 15 and 7-1 ats in their last 8 at home.

This one is going to be a great one to watch as the guard play by both these teams are superb.  Look for Greiviz Vazquez to have a big game as the ACC player of the week is hot right now.

I will gladly take the hostile home crowd in a HUGE game and +2 points to go with it.

Maryland +2 for 3 JT units over Duke at 9:00 (WIN)

T-Bone is on a roll, 7-0 since Thursday and 10-2 in his last twelve. After crunching the numbers and wading through all the games we have one solid play for you today worth 3 units.
The Detroit @ Valpo game already happened in early February and Valpo jumped out to a 19 point half time lead as an underdog and won by 4. Now we are in the Horizon League Tournament and same teams, same venue and it will be same result. Detroit is 5-8 on the road while Valpo is 9-3 at home. Crusaders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. Horizon League,7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 and 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two squads.
Take Valpo -1.5 for 3 T-Bone units.  (loss)

4**** banger
Golden State @ Miami
7:35 PM EST
I love this total to go under tonight. The Heat just got Dwade back and he looks back to normal. With a double digit favorite line in favor of the Heat tonight, I fully expect D Wade to go for about 3 quarters as the Heat build a big lead and then we have a very low scoring fourth quarter. The Warriors have so  many injuries that I just don't know where the scoring is going to come from. Look at this injury list for the Warriors:

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
PLAYER	POS	DESCRIPTION
Kelenna Azubuike	G	Out For Season (knee injury)
Raja Bell	G	Out Indefinitely (wrist injury)
Andris Biedrins	F	Out Indefinitely (groin injury)
Monta Ellis	G	Day-to-Day (sore back)
Corey Maggette	G	Out Indefinitely (hamstring injury)
Vladimir Radmanovic	F	Out Indefinitely (sore achilles)
Anthony Randolph	F	Out Indefinitely (ankle injury)
Brandan Wright	F	Out Indefinitely (shoulder surgery)

Azubuike, Bell, Biedrens, Ellis, Maggette, Randolph and Radmanovic have all started this year. There is no way in hell that a top 5 defensive team like Miami is going to give up a huge line to a team that has this kind of injury problems. I watch a lot of the Heat and think this total will go significantly down today. If it goes up, don't be scared. The players who are taking the court for Golden State are better defensive than offensive players and Miami won't get into a run and gun tonight. Don't be worried if the first quarter is high scoring either. We gotta take the under tonight. Golden State is 16-11 ATS on the under on the road, Miami is 18-11 ATS on the under at home. Golden State has gone under in 6 of their last 7 games on the road.
Let's roll
PC NBA GOW: Golden State/Miami under 201 1/2
4**** (loss)

10:30pm
Current Line:  LA Lakers -11.5
Kobe Bryant is still trying to find his shooting form after being sidelined five games last month. A matchup with the Indiana Pacers could help the two-time scoring champion get back on track. Bryant and the Western Conference-leading Los Angeles Lakers close out their three-game homestand Tuesday night when they try to win their 11th straight at Staples Center against the Pacers.  Bryant in Los Angeles' 118-96 victory in Indianapolis on Jan. 27. Playing in front of a Conseco Fieldhouse crowd that showered him with chants of "M-V-P," Bryant hit 10 of 15 from the field and finished with 29 points, nine rebounds and seven assists.  Including three losses in the 2000 NBA finals, the Pacers are 0-13 all-time at Staples Center since it opened in 1999. The Pacers have been outrebounded by an average of 8.1 while losing seven of nine. Indiana, which has lost five of six on the road, posted its last victory in Los Angeles on Feb 1999.

Play Against - Any team (INDIANA) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more. 
(45-19 since 1996.) (70.3%, +24.1 units.)

LA LAKERS are 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 
The average score was LA LAKERS 110.7, OPPONENT 96.9

Play LA Lakers -11.5, HKC 3* (WIN)

We are now 3-1 ... and look for 5 out of 6 tonight !!! I have 2 selections tonight, that both fall into my TRAP CRITERIA that gave us the other 3 winners !!! Best of Luck tonight !!!

Game 1 : 7.35PM
My first selection for Tuesday Night comes to us in the South Florida DePaul game! South Florida (a bubble team) playing a down right miserable DePaul team of late who is 0-10 SU in the last 10.  Guess what ... we are taking that miserable team tonight. DePaul has lost 10 straight but they are also 8-2 in the same 10 ATS. But I really dont even care about that ... that holds no water to why I chose this selection. What raised the BP FLAG in this one, was the fact that a 17-11 Bubble Team playing a team struggling to get in the W column is only favored by 3 when the line opened ... then to add to it, with 86% of the Public on the Bubble Team, the line DROPS to 2.5. Reverse Trap Movement in my eyes. The last 2 times these 2 teams have met, USF won by 9 & 22 ... Wouldn't it be nuts if DePaul wins this game SU ? I can see it happening, afterall, I see a TRAP here fellas !!
BP TRAP 3*** DEPAUL +2.5 (loss)

Game 2: 8PM
My second selections comes to us in the Baylor Texas Tech game ! Baylor (22-6) with a 22 nat'l rank is playing a 16-12 Texas Tech team. These 2 teams met last month, and the Ranked Baylor squad won by 18! So here we are a month later, and what is the opening line ? 4 ... So JOE has jumped ALL OVER Baylor -4 in this one ...  and with 81% JOE'S, the line did not go up, rather it DROPPED to 3.5. With that being said, I will say "TRAP" ... We are going against the Public in this one... If your name is JOE .... you are not a JOE tonight !!!! We are taking the HOME DOG in this one !!!
BP TRAP 3*** TEXAS TECH +3.5 (loss)

T-Bone is on a roll 6-0 in his last 6 and 9-2 in his last 11. We are still being selective and have one 3 star college play for you here. 
T-Bone does not recommend watching this game as 9-21 Georgia Southern plays at 6-23 NC Greensboro, just play it and watch your account increase. Georgia Southern is 15-11-1 ATS this year while NC Greensboro is 11-15-1. Georgia Southern Eagles are 3-1 ATS in their last for road games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Southern and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog Spartans are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Road team in this match up is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Take Georgia Southern plus 5.5 for 3 units. (loss)

G-Town at WVU
Winding the season down so here is an important game for seeding in the big east.  G-Town is coming off some horrible performances the past few games and their leading scorer Freeman put up 5 points vs's Notre Dame as he played out of character.  G-Town is a good 3PT shooting team "ranked 18th", they rebound the ball very well on the defensive side, they are ranked 4th on offensive FG% so they are capable of playing fast if need be.  West Virginia boasts a 12-2 home record but if you go inside you will see they have a losing record ATS at home.  I can't give 6 points to a team that shoots the 3 ball better, has a better FT%, their leading scorer coming off a dismal performance and a team that travels well in G-Town.  I predict G-Town gets back on track tonight and gives WVU all they can handle
G-Town +6 for 2.5 Mr W Units (loss)

Take Oklahoma +14 over Texas tonight at 9:00 for 4 units...

Are you kidding me here.  You are going to give me 14 points in a rivalry game.  Texas is reeling right now as coach Barnes has flat out admitted he needs to do a better job of communicating with the team.  Maybe this team is giving up on him. I'm not sure if they have however what I do know is Oklahoma beat Texas earlier this year.  Now some may say well Warren and Gallon are out for Oklahoma and Oklahoma is thin.  Yes that is correct however check the box score when Okl. played Texas and you will see both these guys didn't contribute much to the game.

Bottom line here is you have a rivalry game on ESPN with a Texas team that are 3-13 ats in their last 16, 6-21-1 ats in their last 28 against big 12 teams, 1-4 ats in their last 5 against a team with a losing record, and 1-5 ats as a favorite of 13 points or more playing against a good free throw shooting team that will be playing with nothing to lose.

Take Okl. +14 points tonight for 4 JT units as my GOM (WIN)

7:00pm
Current Line:  Cleveland -11
LeBron vs Knicks...what more needs said?  Saying LeBron James has dominated the Knicks would be a huge understatement. New York's plan to stop him, however, may not take effect until this summer. The reigning MVP looks to help the league-leading Cleveland Cavaliers withstand Shaquille O'Neal's absence Monday night and extend their winning streak over the struggling Knicks to eight games. James leads the league with 30.0 points per game, and is the biggest reason why the Cavaliers own the NBA's best record. On the way to becoming one of the most dominant teams in the league, Cleveland has become accustomed to getting outstanding performances from The King against the Knicks.  With the Knicks dropping 9 of their last 10 and McGrady less than 100% we look for nothing less than a dominating performance by the Cavs this evening.

CLEVELAND is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. 
The average score was CLEVELAND 101.1, OPPONENT 88.1

Play Cleveland Cavs -11, HKC 3* (WIN)

Oklahoma @ Texas
9:00 PM EST
OU burned me last monday on the total and I'm not going to let it happen again. Texas lost outright to OU 80-71 in Norman and tonight I expect another high flying affair in Austin. The line is dropping on OU and I think that both teams have really lost their edge defensively. All the trends lead to an under, but I'm taking the over. Both teams can shoot the 3, OU is atrocious at defense, and Texas has revenge on their mind. I see a high flyer on ESPN tonight and I'm rollin the over to the tune of 3 units.
PC 3*** on OU/Texas over 145 1/2 (WIN)

NBA
Toronto @ Houston
8:35 PM EST
I'm advocating another over. I can't stress enough how good Kevin martin has become when healthy and he's really starting to get comfortable in Houston. Early in the year, the Rockets hung their hat on defense and solid contributions from a bevy of role players. However, the team is starting to find an identity. They have lost 9 of 11 at the Toyota Center, but the offense has been clicking. Their defense, however, in true Kevin martin form, has been terrible. On the other side of the court, the Raptors are also a porous defensive team with one of the worst ppg. averages in the NBA. I looked at this game and wanted to ride Toronto, but not having Bosh against a team who has lost 9 of 11 limits that play to a free play. 
Houston has owned Toronto in the past, but I see a tighter game tonight with some high flying scoring. Seems like a high total with Bosh out, but the Raps will let the ball fly tonight and Houston will push with Martin. Hedo only had 7 points his last time out and he should get some real good looks tonight. Without Bosh, the Houston interior game will have solid success against no defense. Look for a fast paced start, a slow 2nd quarter and then a banging 2nd half.
PC 3*** on Toronto/Houston over 214 (loss)

Beautiful 3-0 start for us !!! Toledo came through for us on Saturday !!! My later play was in the Hawaii game which was cancelled, therefore that is the reason you did not receive another play from me! Today, we have a short card, and I think I found a play for us ...Here it is!

Tonight @ 9PM, we have Fresno St(14-16) heading to Utah St(23-6). This game hit me as a Red Flag ... I monitored it all day long ... and I decided to release this as a BP Premium Selection.   This game opened up with Utah St being favored 15.5 pts ... & with 72-82% public (several books) on Utah St this line dropped to 14.5/15 and has stayed there since. I have monitored this line all day. I look at the matchup, and you find Fresno St just lost by 27 to San Jose St, you see that Utah St beat Fresno in Fresno by 26 just last month, you also see that Utah St has covered 5 out of their 6 last games against Fresno St. With all of this being said, why the reverse movement with tons of Joe's on Utah St ? If this line was lower, I would of definitely been big on it as a Trap Play, but since the line is around 15, I can't really call it a trap, but I will definite say this play STINKS! So lets call this BP UGLY 3*** ! No matter how Ugly, a cover is a cover, and this game stinks to me for Utah St, meaning we should grab this Cover tonight !!!! Let's keep in mind of my 3-0 College Selects last week ... Toledo (4-26), Penn (5-20), & Delaware (7-23) ... these aren't exactly Pretty bets !!!! Let's grab another UGLY one tonight !!!
BP UGLY 3*** Fresno St +14.5 (loss)

T-Bone WON AGAIN Saturday for the third straight night; T-Bone is 4-0 in his last four and 7-2 in his last 9. T-Bone has a Sunday two pack for you with 6 units to win. 

#18 Temple is 10-3 on the road and 11-2 in conference; LaSalle has a losing record at home and in conference and lost to Temple by 12 in January. Owls are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5 and 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 vs. Atlantic 10. Explorers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. Atlantic 10.
Take Temple +7.5 for 3 T-Bone units. (WIN)

The days of the Hoosiers being a top team is over but their name recognition is still affecting the lines and T-Bone will continue to jump all over it. Iowa defeated Indiana by 15 a little over a month ago and Indiana is 1-6 on the road. Hawkeyes are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Hoosiers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten.
Take Iowa -6 for 3 T-Bone units. (WIN)

Banging Saturday at BPO Sport corp. Congrats to the team as we absolutely raked for ya. I personally hit for 7 units and look to hit a 3*** to end this week:
Milwaukee @ Atlanta 6:00 PM EST
Who's hotter than the Milwaukee Bucks? Sounds funny doesn't it? The Bucks are a machine right now though. Look at their past 5 results:
**5-0 SU including the last 2 on the road.
**94-71 win @ Miami, 112-110 win @ Indy, 115-95 win at home over New Orleans, 83-67 win @ New York, 93-88 win over Charlotte. 
**4-0-1 ATS in their last 5.
**The Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5.
I have to back the Bucks. Since Bogut has gotten healthy, the inside out game of Bogut and Johnny Flynn has been terrific. The hawks are a solid team and they have a solid top 6, but I just think the Bucks are playing their bast ball of the season and are hammering the line while the public plays traditionally against them. I have to back the large dog.
PC 3*** on Milwaukee +7 1/2 (take down to 6) (WIN)

9:05pm
Current Line:  Sacramento Kings -3.5
The Clippers have won only 3 times in their last 19 road contests as they come into Sunday night vs the Kings.   The Kings, 14-14 at home, are trying to build on Friday's 103-99 win over Utah, ending a five-game losing streak by overcoming disciplinary problems.  Tyreke Evans continues to be a bright spot for the Kings, making 57.1 percent of his shots to average 22.3 points with 7.5 assists over the last four games. He scored 21 against the Clippers a week ago. In a nice revenge spot we'll back the Kings to handle a Clippers team tonight that is just 12-17 ATS and 7-22 SU when traveling.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs this season. 
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 91.4, OPPONENT 109.5 
Play Sacramento Kings -3.5, HKC 3* (currently up to 4) (WIN) 

Nova @ Cuse
9:00 PM EST
I am taking Syracuse tonight to take care of Scottie Reynolds and the talented Villanova Wildcats. 5 points might seem like a lot between these two potential #1 seeds, but I'm not buying it. The largest crowd ever to see an on campus game will be backing the Orange and Jim Boehiem's team is going to play that great 2-3 matchup zone which should really neutralize Nova's ability. Scottie reynolds can ball, there is no doubt about it. He's a slasher and can score from outside. With that being said, I think the Cuse defense is the perfect cure to this kind of player. It will take the role players of Nova to really step up to have a shot of winning of this game.
PC 3*** Cuse -5 (WIN)

NBA:
memphis @ new York
7:35 PM EST
Yes, I know the Grizz lost last night against the Bobcats at home. All the more reason to take them tonight. They are 3-0 ATS and SU on the road since the all star break. The Knicks will probalby by missing T Mac who reaggravated a knee injury. The Knickers played an OT thriller last night which they won. I just cann't see a reason to not lay on the Grizz tonight. They didn't get it done last night but I fully expect it tonight. No way they go 0-2 ATS in this stretch and it's a 4**** for me now. The Knicks aren't that good, the Grizz are great on the road, and matchup wise, unless the Knicks have a field day from the 3 point stripe, this game will be a laugher for the Grizzlies. Memphis is 10-4 ATS in it's last 14 on the road and they owe me one. I get it back tonight with some change.
PC 4**** on Memphis -2 ½ (WIN)

BP Select
There we go, another BP Winner last night with Penn ... I have a definite selection I love for tonight, and a possible later one. Let me get this 7PM Selection up NOW!

Tonight @ 7PM, we have Ball St(15-12) heading to Toledo(3-26). I went through the 100ish games that are going on today, looking for the red flags that I like to see ... After finding a good 8 red flags, this one was BLEEDING to me ... I had to revisit this one's data over and over again & here we are, releasing it as a BP Premium Selection. So let me briefly explain where I am coming from here. As usual, I look for trappish, odd looking situations, and I think I found one here that takes the cake on Saturday! Last Month, these 2 teams met in Ball St, & Ball St didn't just beat this bad Toledo team, but they destroyed them by 28 points. The line was -8 in Ball St. OK.  So I look into todays game, & see that the line opened up @ -5 & upto -6 at certain spots. After that Jan beatdown, that looks delicious to a Joe. But as of now, with 86% of the Public (Joes) on Ball St the line has actually dropped down to 4.5/4 depending on the book. I love to see this! One good thing I see in this series is that the Home Team seems to fare well , even though Ball St has owned the ATS series. The Public all over Ball St, the Trappish Line Movements, the Jan beatdown leads me to only one thing fellas ... We are taking the Home Dog in this one! Its the BP way! I have to release this one as a 4*, it just looks so trappish to me!
BP TRAP 4**** TOLEDO +4.5 (WIN)

9:05pm
Current Line:  Utah -9.5
The Utah Jazz used a big second half effort to knock off Houston less than two weeks ago, the Rockets have undergone a major makeover since then with all the trades.  Landry's instant energy has been missed greatly by a rather slow paced Rockets team.  Tonight on a back to back they will also e missing the service of maybe their best scorer in Ariza.  The Jazz come having lost two of three but if there is one thing this team has been over the past few years is money at home.  We'll back the Jazz tonight and see an 11+ point victory.

UTAH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more since 1996. 
The average score was UTAH 103.9, OPPONENT 91.3
Play Utah Jazz -9.5, HKC 3* (WIN)

This one came in just now by phone call ... JT advises to definitely play California -7 for 3 JT Units. This game goes off @ 3PM. He has them winning by 10+ in this one. As good as Arizona St is, they will struggle with Cal today, especially Cal's big man! No long writeup here, an urgent phone call to make sure to get this play out. JT is 7-1 +18.2 Units in his last 8, & off a 2-0 Tuesday where he hit a 4**** !!!! So I would definitely listen to him!
JT CBB 3*** California -7 (WIN)

T-Bone Select
T-Bone 4star Saturday special, there are over 140 division 1 college basketball games going today but one stands out above the rest.
Syracuse can clinch a #1 seed in the tourney with a win here and are playing their best ball. Orange are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 games overall, 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite, 17-6 ATS in their last 23 vs. Big East and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
Take Syracuse -4.5 for 4 T-Bone units (WIN)

Texas at Texas A&M
Place should be rocking here as A&M has become a sexy looking pick due to Texas's lack of consistancy.  Texas offense is rated in the top 10 and I think some people have been looking right over that aspect of them.  Texas A&M will want to grind them out and try to steal this game late in the 2nd but I think Texas may be playing ahead this whole game and get A&M off their game.  A&M will need a huge underneath game and some long range shots to fall to keep with with Texas.  We will take Texas as a small dog...how often are we going to get Texas as a dog?  This may be the last time this year
Texas +1 for 2 Mr W Units (loss)

Depaul at Rutgers
I watched this game the other night and thought these two teams were very evenly matched.  Depaul went cold in the 2nd half to lose by 4 points.  Rutgers started hammering 3 balls late and scored 44 points in the 2nd half.  Depaul is very capable of beating a weak defensive Rutgers team or at least making the game competitive.  Depaul needs 1 other player to step up today and we should cash.  Both teams have had hellish schedule's in the big east and Depaul has been playing hard but not getting W's...that should change today
Depaul +5.5 for 3 Mr W Units (loss)

T-Bone Selects
T-Bone Friday Night 2-pack including his first NBA play of the year, T-Bone won you Arizona State in his only play on Thursday; let him win you 6 units on Friday.

NBA- The Suns are 21-7 at home and the Clippers are 7-21 on the road, recipe for disaster, unless of course you are with the smart money on the Phoenix side. When the Suns win they cover the big line as shown in their 124-93 defeat of the Clippers at home on Christmas day. This will be the same formula, Take Phoenix. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Clippers are 15-38 ATS in their last 53 vs. Western Conference, 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and Clippers are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Take the Suns -9.5 for 3 T-Bone units. (WIN)

Butler is a very good team and will be dancing in March, Valparaiso is no slouch either but on paper don’t match up. Take this information into account the Crusaders are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Horizon League and most importantly 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Butler is trending in the other direction, the Bulldogs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5, and the Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Horizon League and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5.
Take Valpo + 8.5 for 3 T-Bone units. (WIN)

BP Selects
We started this thing off right on Wednesday Night nailing Delaware for 3 BP Units ... last night I had written up Boise St +9 to release, and saw some late +9.5 movement which was not what I wanted to see, and did not send out, which Boise St not only covered the 9.5, but won the game SU by 13 ... oh well, what can we do ... tonight I have one play that I like, and I would kick myself if I do not release it and it covers again. So here we go!

Tonight @ 7PM, we have Penn headed to Columbia. This play does not exactly hit my "Trap" criteria which I like to see before I release, but I believe I see enough to release this as a 2** Ivy winner! So what do we have in front of us? Columbia playing at home, coming into this one as 3.5 pt favorites (line opened), and now with 58% public on them the line has dropped to -3 (-2.5 at some books) ... good, I like that movement, even though I wish more public was on Columbia. Another thing I see is the home team seems to be favored lately when these 2 teams meet, with the road team coming out with the cover/win. Neither one of these teams have a flashy offense, but Pennsylvania has a flashy player in Rosen. Rosen has been brilliant of late, and I can see him having another good game tonight against a mediocre defense. I saw Brilliance with Penn when they beat Cornell a few weeks back. Guess who they play tomorrow night .... Cornell .... We know Cornell is going to come to play tomorrow night, avenging that nasty upset. Penn should play BIG tonight, hyped up that they are to play Cornell tomorrow. Definitely walk with a swagger. What better than to be off 2 wins and go into Cornell to try and repeat?  I'm taking the points in this one, and taking the road team which I believe will WIN this game SU.
BP IVY 2** PENNSYLVANIA +3 (WIN)

Winner last time out. Here's my best bet for tonight:

Charlotte @ Memphis
8:05 PM EST
I like Memphis to lay the wood to Charlotte tonight. The Grizz have had a recent run of bad form to fall back into the pack but they are still a solid team and are playing a Bobcats team who is in free fall. Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 and this game poses a sever matchup problem for them. Gasol and Mayo can exploit Charlotte's usually stingy defense and at home, the Grizzlies are a very tough defensive team. They lost by 1 last time out to the Lakers in Memphis and Charlotte is a team that shouldn't be there at the end of this game. Both teams need the win desperately, I see Memphis pulling away in the 4'th and getting us that 3 point cover. Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in it's last 6 on the road and while they have a 4-1 SU record against Memphis in their last 5, tonight they lose to the Grizz on the road.
PC 3*** on Memphis -3 (loss)

7:05pm
Current Line:  Atlanta -3
The Atlanta Hawks have excelled against the Western Conference this season, particularly at home. The Hawks will look to continue that home success Friday night when they try to end the Mavericks' season high-tying five-game win streak. Atlanta improved to 18-8 against West foes with a 98-92 home win over Minnesota on Wednesday. That number includes a 10-1 mark at Philips Arena and 6-2 record against Southwest Division foes, with one of the victories being an 80-75 win at Dallas on Dec. 5. The Mavericks finished with their worst home shooting percentage of the season at 37.3 in that game, and the Hawks are now seeking their first sweep of the Mavericks in six seasons.  The Hawks athleticism prevails in this one and cashes a ticket for us.

Play Atlanta Hawks -3, HKC 3* (loss) 

T-Bone 3* Thursday special
T-Bone has given you at least one winner the past two days and we will do it again on Thursday. We have one very strong play in the Pac 10. 
Arizona State (19-8) travels to Stanford (13-14) for an important conference game. Arizona State defeated Stanford by 18 on January 30th and a change of venue won’t completely change the outcome. The line is only -2.5 because it is in Cardinal Territory but don’t be fooled Arizona State will still win and cover. Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinal are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Take Arizona State -2.5 for 3 T-Bone units

10:35pm
Current Line:  Denver -5.5
The Denver Nuggets are getting a slight breather following a stretch against some of the league's top teams. George Karl is certainly deserving of a respite of his own. Playing their first game without Karl since he was again diagnosed with cancer, the Nuggets look to sweep their four-game season series with the lowly Golden State Warriors on Thursday night. Denver has alternated wins and losses in a tough eight game span which was highlighted by road wins over the Los Angeles Lakers and Cleveland. Denver hasn't played since a 114-105 home win over Boston on Sunday, and now faces one of the league's doormats. The Nuggets have scored at least 123 points in winning each of their last five games against the Warriors.  Denver has made the most of its opportunities against Golden State in the past and we expect nothing less this evening.

Play Against - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.
(45-18 since 1996.) (71.4%, +25.2 units)

Play Denver -5.5, HKC 3*