I have to put my money on this so it is a play.

Take Indiana -8 -120 over Wash. tonight at 7:00 for 3 units....

Wash. flat out sucks and this team has packed it in.  They had a long road trip came back and then played Char. last night.  They were in it but then deflated at the end and now go to Indiana. Indiana has covered 6 games in a row and covered 5 straight at home. This s team is young and still playing hard and I think they will keep their momentum going against the crappy Wizards. Wash. benched Blatche and he's not playing because he refused to go back in the game last night.

The home team is 7-2 ats over their last 9 meetings.  Wash. is 0-4 ats over their last 4 games in Indiana.

Stick a fork in Wash. and take Indiana -8 -120 for 3 JT units.


Took yesterday off as nothing really jumped out at me.  Hit my last 3 games and intend to make it four in a row.

Take Utah -3 -120 over Tot. at 7:00 for 3 units...

I bought the hook in this game as I will continue this for one more week if the line is in the middle for a favorite.  Again this is because last week two leans I had lost by the hook. Utah is one game behind Denver right now for the division lead and this is an important 3 game road trip for Utah in which coach Sloan knows they need 2 out of 3 at the very least as Denver has to play Boston,Tot, Orlando, and Dallas on the road over their next 4 games.  Utah is a veteran team that knows they need this 1st one and I believe they are flat out the better team here. 

The trends flat out favor Utah in this one as well.  There are sooo many however here are few head to head...
Jazz are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Jazz are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
The two biggest trends in our favor as well is that Tot is 0-8 ats in their last 8 home games and Utah is 21-5-2 ats over their last 28 games as a favorite.  That's an 80% winning % for Utah

I'll take that all day long.  Jazz -3 -120 over Tot. for 3 JT units.....

Ended the week with 2 wins for +6 units and I look to continue the streak...

Tonight take Pacific + 1 1/2 over N. Colorado at 9:00 for 3 units...

Now I know that N. Colorado is 14-1 at home this year however I clearly think they are out matched in this game.  N. Colorado SOS(strength of schedule) for all division 1 games is 316 wheres as Pacific is 209.   Also, N. Col. SOS for Non Conference Div. 1 teams this year is 345 where Pacific is 176.  That's a big disparity.

N. Colorado lost one of their key players in Devon Beitzel who was second on the team in scoring, averaged 30 minutes a game, and led the team in 3 point makes and attempts.  Don't forget he shot 80% from the free throw line as well.  Teams like these its hard when you lose a player of that caliber.  Pacific can play with these guys defensively as they are a tough defensive team.

Even thoug N. Colorado is 14-1 at home this year, they are 1-8 ats in their last 9 home games and 3-11 ats in their last 14 games overall.  Also, N. Colorado is 0-7 ats in their last 7 homes games as a favorite.  Pacific on the other hand come in hot at 6-0 ats in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning % greater than 600.

Pacific gets the road victory tonight...

Pacific + 1 1/2 for 3 JT units....

Won a little back with Boston last night....

Today I get a little more back with one play...

W. Virg. -5  -120 over Missouri at 2:40 for 3 JT units....

W. Virg. is a very good basketball team and I think this team is poised to make a run to the final four with Kentucky being the only obstacle.  Coach Huggins has had controversy in the past and I think he's focused and has his team focused as well.

Missouri will press all game long but I think W. Virg. is equipped to break it.  They are deep and talented and have no problems playing 10 guys if they have to. I think Miss. will be tired towards the end of the game leading to fouls and W. Virg. is a good free throw shooting team and those points towards the end will lead us the ats win. W. Virginia has the edge in rebounding and I think it will lead to second chance points..

The main reason I like this play is because when Missouri has held their opponents under 70 points they are 24-0 and I just don't see the Tigers putting up 70 today...

I bought a half a point in this one because I had two leans so far that ended up not being plays that I would have lost by the hook.  Finally a number 1 and number 2 already went down yesterday and I don't see both another number 1 falling today.  No trends in this matchup factored into my reasoning for this play.

W. Virg. -5 -120 for 3 units....

I'm switching things up a little today and look to get on track.

Take over Butler/Murray St. 128 1/2 for 3 JT units at 3:20

These are two defensive teams however offensively they average 146 points.  Teams that don't know each other or scout other teams tend to struggle defensively since they don't know completely the type of offense their opponent plays.  I also think this game should be close so there should be some late fouls and free throws.  Both teams are about 70% from the line...

I think this one soars over...
Take over 128 1/2 for 3 JT units
 

Rough week for me as it looks like I will have my 1st overall losing week in a very long time.  I liked this game and wanted to wait until my 1st game ended.

I took Boston +4 over Dallas at 9:05 for 3 units....

Over 80% of the public is on Dallas yet the line opened at 4 1/2 and dropped to 4.  The Celtics I think actually matchup well with Dallas however its the trends in this one that I liked the most.

Mavericks are 3-25-1 ATS in their last 29 home games.
Mavericks are 2-25-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite.
Celtics are 51-24-2 ATS in their last 77 as a road underdog.

Head to Head here are some also:
Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Dallas.
Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings 

I can't ignore the trends and the public fade either on this one.

Celtics +4 for 3 JT units....

My history tells me I also end a week on a positive so play this one with confidence.

Lost on a last shot yesterday however this weekend I have 3-4 games total that my money will be on.  I might have one more add on however I am still looking...

1st game is Oklahoma st.-1 over G. Tech at 7:15 for 4 JT units....

1st let me say that I think the crowd will be a pro Oklahoma St. today and will help.  I don't think G. Tech can contain the combo of James Anderson and Muonelo tonight.  Oklahoma st. is a team that can shoot from anywhere and everywhere and I just don't see them being stopped all game long.  G. Tech meanwhile has not really been that impressive.  Look at their wins this year and they were mostly against inferior opponents.  Ten of their twelve losses were against ACC teams and I don't think the ACC is that dominant this year at all.  G. Tech has a great player in Derrick Favors however Oklahoma St. has banged with many other big boys in the big 12 and I think they will be able to at least somewhat contain him.

Finally I love these trends for Oklahoma St. 

·  Cowboys are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.

·  Cowboys are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games as a favorite.

·  Cowboys are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games.

·  Cowboys are 37-15-2 ATS in their last 54 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.

·  Cowboys are 34-14-3 ATS in their last 51 games as a favorite.

·  Cowboys are 26-11-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall.

·  Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.

Those are pretty impressive trends...

Oklahoma St. is playing with confidence and I think with a little help from the crowd they take care of the yellow jackets tonight and move on to the next round.

Okla St. -1 for 4 JT units tonight....

Today I'm taking only one game and that's Richmond -1 over St. Mary's for the 1st half at 2:50 for 3 JT units...

I'm taking Richmond in the 1st half because I think St. Mary's will come out flat.  They have not played in 10 days and have the pressure of trying to end a 52 year drought without winning a tournament game so I think there will be some jitters.  The crowd will be behind Richmond today.  I had Richmond last week as a revenge GOY against Xavier and cashed and I intend to do the same this afternoon

Richmond -1 in the 1st half for me today for 3 units... 

Gl and we will get some of it back today....

I split last night for a small loss however I found a game that I really like tonight.

Take Mil. -4 1/2 -120 over Clippers at 10:30 for 4 JT units...

I bought the half a point here because my line was lower earlier and I didn't bet it then.  I have a superstition about that so I bought it down as my line is -5. 

We have two teams heading in opposite directions here.  Milw. has won 12 out of their last 13 games and are on a major role right now.  They currently are the 5th seed in the east.  Meanwhile the Clippers are 4-15 since Kim Hughes has taken over and the Clippers have won only once in the last 10 games...  I don't think the Clippers give a shit as they have veteran guys playing as opposed to young guys.  4 out of their 5 starters have at least 6 years of service in the NBA.  They know this team is going nowhere and are playing for the paycheck.  Mil. on the other hand are young and fired up right now playing with a lot of confidence.

The Clippers are 1-7 ats over their last 8.  I can give you a bunch more trends supporting how bad the Clippers are however we all already know this.  I can also give you a bunch of trends regarding recent games for Milw. and ofcourse they will be good because of their winning streak. 

However check out these trends:

·  Bucks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

·  Bucks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

·  Bucks are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

·  Bucks are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.

·  Bucks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.

·  Bucks are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall.

The biggest one that jumps out at me is the last trend.  Milw. has played 65 games this season.  Over the last 51 games which is over three quarters of the games they have played they are 68% ats.  If a capper could hit 68% ats you would bet his/her picks and not think twice about it.

Win or lose I will take those odds all day long...

I'm adding one more game that sticks out to me like a sore thumb....

Take the Nets +6 tonight over Philli at 7:00 for 4 JT units as a second GOW.

This will probably be the only time I have two GOW type of plays on the same day however I am selective and this is where my money is on tonight.  Over the last 6 months I have made somewhere around 70 plays which is about 3 a week.  I don't play games every night and I don't play games just to have action on them.  With that said here's my reasoning so let's make some $$$$$$$$$$

1st off N.J. wants at least 10 wins this season badly as they do not want to go down as the worst team ever.  Who holds the record for the worst team ever?  Philly is the correct answer so a win here would be especially nice for N.J.  These two teams met three times this season and Philly won 3,3, and 4 so +6 is actually nice...

A writer traveled with the team recently and said this team is loose and actually want to win at least 10 games this season.  He said they are close team which tells me they still want to play hard.  Philly right now is shorthanded so the guys have to log some minutes and N.J. is young so that doesn't help.

N.J. is actually 10-0-1 ats over their last 11 road games which tells me that the oddsmakers are setting the odds based on the stats or over inflating the favorite knowing the public usually back the favorite. 

Head to head, N.J. is 7-0 ats over their last 7, 5-0 ats over their last 5 in Philly, and the underdog is 17-4 ats over their last 21 meetings.

17-4 was my record over the last 30 days so I love that last trend lol.....

Take the Nets tonight +6 for 4 units as my second GOW....

Take Richmond +3 1/2 over Xavier for 4 units at 3:30.  I really think Richmond is going to win SU however  I will take the points.   I had Xavier last night and I think the tank will run on empty as that was a hard fought game. This is a big revenge game as Xavier won in overtime earlier this year in Xavier.  These guys are on a neutral court now and Richmond is hungry.  Richmond's defense I think will clamp down against Xavier today.   Richmond are 9-2-1 ats over their last 12 games, 6-0-1 ats over their last 7 against a team with a winning%, avove 600, and 37-13-1 ats over their last 51 as an underdog.  Richmond gets their revenge today and move onto the conf. championship game.  This is what I call my revenge GOY and take the Spiders +3 1/2 for 4 units...

Take Xavier -2 1/2 over Dayton at 6:30 tonight for 3 units...
I have -2 1/2 but I see -3 in a lot of places so get this one in early.  Xavier is the far superior team here and I think they really want to avenge that blow out loss they had against Dayton last month.  Xavier is coached very well and actually are better statistically than Dayton.  Xavier scores more points per game, they shoot the ball better from the field and free throw line, they are the better rebounding team, and are better at not turning over the ball.

Xavier has won 9 out of their last 10 whereas Dayton have been playing mediocre ball.  Also, these trends favor Xavier heavily.  Xavier is 8-3 ats over their last 11.  The favorite in this series is 13-4 ats over the last 17 games.  Xavier is 10-1 ats over their last 11 when scoring at least 90 points the previous game and a staggering 20-9 ats over the last 29 games playing on a neutral site as a favorite.  Dayton on the other hand has not done well recently.  They are 1-6-1 ats over their last 8 games, 1-4 ats in their last 5 on a neutral site, and 0-5-1 ats in their last 6 playing a team with a SU winning record.

Essentially we have a team that statistically is better in almost every category and the trends are backing them as well.

I'll take Xavier -2 1/2 over Dayton at 6:30 for 3 JT units...

I have my final card for tonight and it will be a 3 pack special... I have Xavier -2 1/2 for 3 units already locked in. 

Take Akron -3 1/2 over Western Michigan for 3 JT units at 7:00.
Maybe I am getting suckered in here but we have Akron that beat W. Michigan at their own stadium earlier this year and now play again.  Akron is the better offensive and defensive team here not to mention they rebound better and have the better bench.  If you look at W. Michigan's schedule they have not beaten many quality teams this year.

The trends favor Akron tremendously also.  W. Michigan is 6-19-1 over their last 26 games ats on a neutral court, 5-16-1 ats following in their last 22 following an ats win, 1-4 ats in their last 5 ats as a dog between 0.5-6.5, and most importantly 1-7 ats the last 8 times they have played Akron.

Meanwhile Akron are 5-0 ats following a win in which they scored at least 90 points, 5-1 ats in their last 6 as a favorite of 0.5-6.5, 5-2-1 ats over their last 8 on a neutral court and did I mention that the favorite in this series is 14-3 ats over the last 17 games.

I'm biting here for sure and I will lay 3.5 with Akron at 7:00 for 3 units...

My final game is Indiana +10 -120 over Boston at 7:30 for 3 JT units....
I flat out think this is a lot of points to give a team especially when the team that's laying the points are not playing well right now.  Did you know that fans were booing the Celtics their last game against Memphis and by the 4th quarter the stands were basically empty? Did you know that despite Indiana's crappy record they score more points a game than Boston, rebound the ball better, and have a better bench?

I think the guards for Indiana can at least contain Rondo and Allen.  Meanwhile the big men up front for Indiana can out run Boston's front line all day long.  I don't think the front court can hang with Indiana's young guys.

We have some nice trends that back my play up as well.  Boston is 15-38-1 ats over the last 54 home games, 10-29 ats over their last 39 as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, 0-4 ats over their last 4 following a double digit loss at home(which means they don't bounce back like a championship team should do) and a paltry 1-8 ats over their last 9 home games versus a team with a losing record on the road.

Meanwhile Indiana are 6-2 ats over their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game,  4-0 ats over the last 4 meetings against Boston, and the underdog in this series are 20-7 ats over the last 27 games.

The bottom line is Boston beat Indiana by 9 points the last time they played right before xmas.  The game was actually tied going into the 4th quarter and Boston pulled away at the end.  I think Boston was a better team then then they are now and I'm going to get 10.

I'll take the points.  Indiana +10 -120(I bought a half a point) for 3 units tonight at 7:30.

Nice win for us last night as Oklahoma State went up 25-5 and never looked back.

Tonight I'm taking Arkansas over Georgia pk at 9:45 for 4 units.... as my tournament GOM

Arkansas beat Georgia earlier this year in Georgia where Georgia was favored by 8 1/2 points.  They now play on a neutral court in the tournament and the line is a pk.  Georgia has won only 1 game away from home this year and I think the perception is that Arkansas is reeling right now having lost 5in a row.  The truth is Arkansas has not given up and coach Pelphrey still has these guying believing.  Two weeks ago Arkansas was still in contention to win the SEC west.

My opinion is that Arkansas is the better team and should win which is why I'm rolling with them tonight.

Arkansas pk over Georgia for 4 JT units at 9:40pm

I took Monday and Tuesday off as nothing really appealed enough to me to put my own money on it however tonight I found a game I like.

Take Oklahoma St -6 1/2 over Oklahoma at 7:00 for 3 units....

I rolled with Oklahoma big a few weeks ago against Texas and now I'm going against them as they have packed it in for the season.  I think they want to lose and get the season over with.  Oklahoma have lost their last 9 out of their last 10 games.  Their 9 losses the average losing margin is 12 points.  Oklahoma st. destroyed them in their last game and I don't think they let up here.  James Anderson is a beast and won't be stopped tonight.  I think he puts up at least 25.  The all american is also a second team academic all american in the big 12 so the junior knows the importance of this game. Head coach Travis Ford is under rated as he has this team believing.  Oklahoma are 3-9 ats over the last 12.  Oklahoma state meanwhile are 16-7 ats following an ats win and 4-0 ats over the last 4 versus a team with a losing record.

Take the Okie St Cowboys -6 1/2 for 3 JT units at 7:00 (WIN)

Take Loyola Marymount over S.F. -1 at 9:00 for 3 units...

This is my 1st play and most likely I will add more...
Loyola is flat out the better team here and have beaten better opponents.  Loyola started out 3-7 and have since gone 14-7.  They are 7-3 in their last 10 games played and have more momentum than S.F. right now.  S.F. beat them twice this year so you have double revenge factor as well.  S.F. is 2-5 ats in their last 7 on a neutral court.  Loyola score more points per game, they are the better shooting and rebounding team as well as better and limiting turnovers.

Loyola buries this team tonight and move on to play Gonzaga in the next round

Loyola -1 at 9:00 for 3 JT units.

Take Houston -4 over Minn. at 8:00 for 3 units...
Houston has not given up yet and are still playing hard.  Minn. is 1-9 over the last 10 games.  Houston score more points, have the better defense, bench, they are better at limiting turnovers, and are better at the free throw line.  That's almost every statistical category.  Finally, I can't over look this.  Houston is 8-1-1 ats in their last 10 versus Minn. and the favorite is 10-1-1 ats over the last 12.

Take Houston -4 tonight for 3 JT units...

I'm a little late here but I think this is the best game out there tonight.

Take UT Chattanooga -1 1/2 over Georgia Southern at 9:30 for 3 units.
Ok I will bite here and take this game.  We have two teams that aren't very good playing each other.  One team is 1-16 on the road and the other team is 11-5 at home.  The team that is 11-5 at home actually won this tournament last year.  Chatanooga beat this team by 12 points earlier.  The favorite is 4-1 ats over the last 5 games between these two teams and Georgia Southern is 2-5 ats in the last 7 versus Chatanooga.

I'm biting and taking the Mocs here -1 1/2 for 3 JT units

Take Phoenix -3 over the Clippers at 10:30 for 3 units...

I hit my college gom earlier this week and now I find by nba gow.
We have a Phoenix team that dominates the Clippers statistically tonight.  Phoenix is one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now winning 7 of their last 8.  They know changes are coming after the season however this team play like a team and genuinely care about one another.  They want to win and I believe want to upset some teams in the playoffs this year.

There are some unbelievable trends in this one.  Just a few are the Suns are 4-1 ats in their last 5 against the Clippers, 5-0 ats in their last 5,  they are 9-0 ats in their last nine both when their previous opponent scored 100 points and also allowed 100 points which is the case tonight.  Phoenix is 7-1 ats in their last 8 road games and 7-1 ats in their last 8 road games against a home team with a winning record.  I could go on and one with trends as they heavily favor Phoenix tonight.

Finally, Phoenix is better than the Clippers at points per game, fg%, free throw%, rebounding, turnovers, and have the better bench.

I rate this play a 3* and gow and not a 4* gom only because I know the public will be hammering Phoenix tonight.  Also the trends are so overwhelming for Phoenix that as a veteran capper I've learned to not over due the units at risk when soooo much is in your favor.  I'm in this game for the long haul so 3 units is solid for me.

Phoenix -3 tonight for 3 JT units

Take Maryland +2 over Duke at 9:00 for 3 units. I've been waiting for this line to go up and my line at 2 is the most favorable so I'm locking in now.  I'm going to get points with a team that has lost only once at home and is seeking revenge.  Duke has shown to not be great on the road as all four of their losses are away.  Both teams are hot right now and this one is going to be close however Maryland on national tv will pull away and win this one.  Maryland is 12-3 ats in their last 15 and 7-1 ats in their last 8 at home. This one is going to be a great one to watch as the guard play by both these teams are superb.  Look for Greiviz Vazquez to have a big game as the ACC player of the week is hot right now. I will gladly take the hostile home crowd in a HUGE game and +2 points to go with it. Maryland +2 for 3 JT units over Duke at 9:00

Take Oklahoma +14 over Texas tonight at 9:00 for 4 units...
Are you kidding me here.  You are going to give me 14 points in a rivalry game.  Texas is reeling right now as coach Barnes has flat out admitted he needs to do a better job of communicating with the team.  Maybe this team is giving up on him. I'm not sure if they have however what I do know is Oklahoma beat Texas earlier this year.  Now some may say well Warren and Gallon are out for Oklahoma and Oklahoma is thin.  Yes that is correct however check the box score when Okl. played Texas and you will see both these guys didn't contribute much to the game.
Bottom line here is you have a rivalry game on ESPN with a Texas team that are 3-13 ats in their last 16, 6-21-1 ats in their last 28 against big 12 teams, 1-4 ats in their last 5 against a team with a losing record, and 1-5 ats as a favorite of 13 points or more playing against a good free throw shooting team that will be playing with nothing to lose.
Take Okl. +14 points tonight for 4 JT units as my GOM

This one came in just now by phone call ... JT advises to definitely play California -7 for 3 JT Units. This game goes off @ 3PM. He has them winning by 10+ in this one. As good as Arizona St is, they will struggle with Cal today, especially Cal's big man! No long writeup here, an urgent phone call to make sure to get this play out. JT is 7-1 +18.2 Units in his last 8, & off a 2-0 Tuesday where he hit a 4**** !!!! So I would definitely listen to him!
JT CBB 3*** California -7

I didn't have a play on Monday as nothing grabbed me however I am taking two games tonight.

Take over 116.5 in Old Dominion Georgia St. game at 7:00 for 2.5 units...
1st let me say the line opned at 114.5 and quickly jumped up as the sharps were on it.  The number is accurate as far as the entire season goes however over the last 10 games Old Dominion is averaging 64.5 points while Georgia St. 63.8.  Old Dominion is tied for 1st place in the conference so they need this game however I think Georgia St. will play hard and produce more offense than the 40 points they put up last time against Old Dominion.  I see a 65-55 type game putting this one over the number.
Over 116.5 for 2.5 JT units
 

Take N.O. +12 over Cleveland at 7:00 for 4 units....
Cleveland right now is trying to find themselves after making the trades that they did.  They have lost 3 in a row and coach Brown is still trying to find the right mixture of guys in the game at the same time.  Also, before Jamison's arrival there were zero plays designed for the power forward so here's another adjustment Brown needs to do.  The Cavs are 1-5 ats in their last 6 and are now laying a dozen points to a team that is 30-26 on the year and 5-1 ats in their last 6.  Cleveland is in a little funk right now and I think as the season winds down they will be an ats machine as the team will begin to click.  However 12 points is a lot of points especially for a team that defensively has given up over 100 points in the last 4 games.
N.O. +12 as my nba gow for 4 JT units

That's my card now let's keep it rolling....

Another win last night making me a perfect 5-0 this week...
I found one game that I like as I'm looking to cap off a perfect week.

On Sunday I'm taking S.A. -4 1/2 over Det. at 6:00 for 3 JT units...
I don't think this Pistons team is equipped to hang with S.A.  These two played not to long ago and S.A. blew them out.  I think S.A. is going to play hard as they are hungry for a win while looking to end this road trip at 5-3.  The Spurs are better than the Pistons in almost every way.  They score more points per game, They shoot the ball better, they are the better free throw shooting team, are better defensively, and have the stronger bench.  This Pistons are 1-7-1 ats in their last 9 home games.  The road team is 6-2 ats in their last 8 meetings.
I will gladly back the far better team here.

S.A. -4 1/2 for 3 JT units

4-0 after a perfect 3-0 sweep last night...
For today there are a lot of games on the board however this one sticks out to me and I am riding with it.

Take San Jose St. +3 1/2 over Montana St. tonight at 9:05.

San Jose St. is flat out in my opinion the better team.  Adrian Oliver will not be stopped in this game.  Coach Nessman has done a good job with this program and I think will have his team ready to play tonight.  San Jose St. has lost 4 in a row however have had a full week of practice to get ready for this game.

The last time I took a team with a week to prepare was Ind. +13 over Purdue and that contest was never in doubt.
This is the late game so I will call it the Sat. night bail out play for anyone who is down early on.

Take San Jose St +3 1/2 for 3 JT units

I won my last game with the Clippers with ease and I have found another tonight that I like.

Take N.O. -3 1/2 over Indiana tonight at 8:00 for 3 JT units.  Betus has -3 1/2 where most other places its -4 so I will lock in now....

N.O. is 17-6 at home this year whereas Ind. is 6-20 on the road.  These two teams met a little over a month ago and N.O. won by 5.  N.O. is clearly the better team here.  N.O. is better scoring team, better fg%, better free throw shooting team, they are better at not turning the ball over, and finally they are the better defensive team.  Indiana is 1-5 ats in their last 6 as a road dog between 0.5-4.5.

I'll back the better team here.

N.O. -3 1/2 for 3 JT units

ADDING ..........

I have a rare 3 pack special tonight...  I limit my plays but I must say today's card looks very good.

Take Washington +6 over Denver at 8:00 for 3 JT units...
Denver has to be tired after last night's overtime game.  Billups played 43 min, Martin 44 min, and Melo 48 min.  I don't think they are going to show up for this game at all.  Washington on the other hand has a new look young team hungry to play.  Guys know this is their chance to cement themselves as a starter for this team.  This line opened at 7 and has gone down with the majority of the public on Denver.  I will gladly take the younger and hungrier home team tonight.
Wash. +6 for 3 JT units

Take Dallas +6 1/2 over Orlando for 3 JT units at 8:00...
I love this new look Dallas team that has been assembled.  Haywood can play Howard defensively as he is a great interior defender.  In fact Washington beat Orlando earlier this year and Caron scored 31 points.  The last 6 times these teams have played Orlando won only once and that was at the last second.  Finally, I found something extremely interesting.  When Orlando wins by double digits at home and then play their next game at home again, they are have covered the spread only once all season.  I will gladly take the points here.
Dallas +6 1/2 for 3 JT units for me

Tonight I'm taking Port. -6 over the Clippers at 10:00 for 3 units... 

There are a lot of reasons why I like this game and normally would rate this higher since I like it a lot however I've lost the last few picks so I don't over extend.  Remember this business is a marathon and if done properly a person can win over time... 

1st there is a little revenge for the Port. as they lost last time out to the Clippers.  In that game Aldridge left in the 1st quarter after spraining his ankle.  I think he can pose problems for Kaman because of his ability to move around.  Portland is a good home team and they are trying to avoid their 1st 3 game losing streak at home in over two years. 

This Clippers team is playing like the Clippers that we have known them to be for many years and that's like crap.  The Clippers are 0-3 since Dunleavy quit the team as coach and have only won 2 games in their last 10.  Have you ever heard of coach Kim Hughes for the Clippers, neither have I....  The edge for Portland tonight is tremendous as they score more points per game, have a better field goal and free throw%, they are a better defensive team, have the better bench, and most importanly are the better team at not turning over the ball.  Finally the Clippes are 8-20 ats in their last 28 road games playing a team with a home winning record.... 

Take Portland -6 tonight over the Clippers for 3 JT unit